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TransAlta Corporation

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Market read · Be The Puck

What the plays and the numbers say

TransAlta (TA) C$18.78 · +2.4% on the day · −12.9% in a year · close Oct 9, 2026

Where we think it’s heading

Mixed signals52 of 100 plays hold it; 5% above its 200-day average; analysts’ 12-month target +25% (11); crash exposure moderate.

Business fundamentals

Weak 26/100
Value21Growth46Quality11
The plays are split and the business scores poorly.P/E: losing money; revenue growth +12%; profit margin −1%; debt to equity 2.29×; dividend yield 1.5%.Scores 0–100 against every name Be The Puck covers; higher is better. Shown beside the call, not folded into it.
  • 52 of the 100 plays hold TA right now.
  • The volume plays mostly say in; the mean-reversion and calendar plays mostly say out.
  • It closed 5% above its 200-day average and 23% below its 52-week high.
  • Crash exposure reads moderate: it fell about 1.2× as far as its index in past crashes and carries 3.0× as much debt as equity.
  • Analysts' average 12-month target is C$23.50, 25% above the close (11 analysts).
Plays in52
Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm test
Mayer Multiple1.05×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+5%). Higher than on 63% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

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Analysis by Be The Puck: published trading rules and public data, rebuilt after each close. Education, not financial advice.

TATransAlta Corporation

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